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Scenario 13 - The Numbers Don't Lie

Date: Sunday 29 March, 1300 Local (Galway runs UTC in March) Station: GW-01 Galway, Ireland - NATS Europe (planning authority for the network) Operator on Duty: You, qualified, solo Constellation Ops: Anneke Visser, Rotterdam (wants the week’s two anomalies explained by 14:00) SH-02 Shetland: Fiona MacLeod, on site; on the pedestal with a torch from 13:50 Customer: Erik Halvorsen, Nordic Maritime Watch (priority-1 SAR-3 collect at 13:52)

Quiet morning, no faults on the board. Both modems on 1,414, analyzers at default, trackers parked. The week’s pass log is attached; Rotterdam has questions about it. The planners have booked the 13:12 SAR-2 for us: 89 degrees, straight over the top. Erik’s SAR-3 collect at 13:52 is on the board for both sites - Galway sees it at 10 degrees, Shetland at 32.

  • Morning shift (turnover log, 1248)

Anneke (text, 1248):

“Your week’s log makes no sense and I would like it to. Galway SAR-1 is two to four dB under budget since Thursday; Shetland on the same bird is not. And the planners have given you the 89 degree SAR-2 at 13:12, which I expect to fall over at the top, and I want to know why before they book another one. Two numbers, two causes. Report by 14:00 please.”


The Week’s Pass Log (MERIDIAN-SAR-1, 27-30° passes, peak C/N)

Section titled “The Week’s Pass Log (MERIDIAN-SAR-1, 27-30° passes, peak C/N)”
Day GW-01 Galway SH-02 Shetland Note
Mon 23 11.1 dB at 28° 10.9 dB at 26°
Tue 24 10.9 dB at 29° 11.0 dB at 27° Also: SAR-2 at 84° over Galway, link lost 3 min around the top, back on the descending leg. Unexplained.
Wed 25 11.0 dB at 28° 11.1 dB at 28°
Thu 26 8.4 dB at 27° 10.9 dB at 27°
Fri 27 7.6 dB at 28° 11.0 dB at 26°
Sat 28 7.2 dB at 28° 10.9 dB at 28°

Two anomalies. A one-off on the steepest pass of the month, and a drift across four days on one site. They are different kinds of number and each needs its own test before it gets a cause.


Survey Budget GW-01-ATP-001 (S2, still the number of record)

Section titled “Survey Budget GW-01-ATP-001 (S2, still the number of record)”
Parameter Value
Satellite EIRP 31.3 dBm
Slant range at max elevation 762 km (28°)
Free-space path loss at 11,686 MHz 171.4 dB
GW-01 receive antenna gain 50.4 dBi
System noise temperature 125 K
Occupied bandwidth 36 MHz
Miscellaneous losses 1 dB
Predicted C/N at max elevation 11.4 dB (worksheet must agree within 1.0 dB)
Demodulator threshold 4.2 dB C/N (QPSK 3/4: Es/N0 5.0 dB in the 30 Msps carrier)
Required margin at Commit Link 5.0 dB (C/N 9.2 dB), measured live

The 13:30 SAR-1 pass is this geometry to the kilometre. The worksheet gets the survey numbers, not the log: the prediction is what a healthy station does at this geometry, and the measurement is what this station does today. The gap is the finding.


Today’s Contacts (epoch 13:00:00 UTC, 0° horizon)

Section titled “Today’s Contacts (epoch 13:00:00 UTC, 0° horizon)”
Contact ID Satellite Horizon Opens Closes Priority
T-SAR2-GW MERIDIAN-SAR-2 Galway, 89° zenith pass 13:12:00 13:22:00 2
T-SAR2-SH MERIDIAN-SAR-2 Shetland, 27° 13:13:40 13:23:10 3 (Fiona)
T-SAR1-SH MERIDIAN-SAR-1 Shetland, 24° 13:28:00 13:37:20 2 (Fiona)
T-SAR1-GW MERIDIAN-SAR-1 Galway, 28° survey geometry 13:30:00 13:39:30 2
T-SAR3-GW MERIDIAN-SAR-3 Galway, 10° graze 13:51:50 13:59:40 3
T-SAR3-SH MERIDIAN-SAR-3 Shetland, 32° 13:52:00 14:01:40 1 (NMW collect)

Only the priority-1 collect has to be assigned for the plan to read DECONFLICTED; the passes already flown are on the board for the record.


Contact AOS Rise az Max Elevation LOS Track
MERIDIAN-SAR-2 13:12:00 163° 89.5° at 13:16:56, 391 km 13:21:56 (az 345°) Northbound, 9.9 min. The zenith pass
MERIDIAN-SAR-1 13:30:01 005° 28.0° at 13:34:46, 762 km 13:39:30 (az 219°) Southbound, 9.5 min. The survey geometry
MERIDIAN-SAR-3 13:51:53 110° 9.6° at 13:55:48, 1,440 km 13:59:41 A graze; not a collect from here
Contact AOS Rise az Max Elevation LOS Track
MERIDIAN-SAR-2 13:13:39 187° 27.3° at 13:18:26, 777 km 13:23:13 Fiona’s
MERIDIAN-SAR-1 13:28:04 008° 23.7° at 13:32:44, 861 km 13:37:23 Fiona’s
MERIDIAN-SAR-3 13:52:00 139° 31.9° at 13:56:46, 694 km 14:01:35 (az 350°) Northbound, 9.6 min. The collect, flown from SH-02

Twelve minutes of empty sky sit between the survey pass and the collect. The scheduler offers to skip ahead; the skip stops two minutes before the next pass at either site and is refused while a timed step is running.

An elevation-over-azimuth pedestal has a keyhole at the zenith. SAR-2 rises from 163° and sets at 345°: as it crosses 89.5° the azimuth the pedestal has to point at swings almost 180° in a few seconds, and the rate it needs goes to infinity through the top. At 10°/s the pedestal cannot, the 0.45° beam falls off the spacecraft near culmination, and the link is gone until the pedestal catches up on the descending leg. The 73° pass in scenario 8 held because a few degrees a second is still tracking; the last few degrees to the zenith are not.

Leg Expect
Ascending, from about 25° Lock, C/N ≥ 8 dB, rising toward the top
Through 13:16:56 The pedestal loses the bird and the receiver drops lock for several seconds. Watch it on RX analysis; do not touch the pedestal
Descending Lock comes back once the azimuth rate falls. Hold it for 100 s, then record the cause

This is an operations note, not a fault. Maintenance cannot repair geometry.


Candidate Where it shows How to rule it out
Element-set age Pass Schedule ephemeris panel; a pointing miss program-track cannot hold Panel shows current elements and no pending update; program-track holds lock through the pass
Pointing The beacon off boresight on RX analysis The beacon peaks on boresight at culmination
Receive chain RX analysis, LNB panel: noise temperature against the 60 K survey value It is the only one left. Read it

LNB high-side at both sites: IF = LO − RF (13,100 MHz LO).

Signal RF (MHz) IF (MHz) Format
SAR-2 imagery downlink 11,730 1,370 QPSK 3/4, 36 MHz
SAR-2 telemetry beacon 11,703 1,397 CW
SAR-1 imagery downlink 11,686 1,414 QPSK 3/4, 36 MHz
SAR-1 telemetry beacon 11,711 1,389 CW
SAR-3 imagery downlink 11,760 1,340 QPSK 3/4, 36 MHz
SAR-3 telemetry beacon 11,785 1,315 CW

SAR-3 is on its own plan from its commissioning card. Both sites receive-only today.


Equipment Status Notes
4 m Ku tracker Powered, manual, parked az 5° / el 3° Park on az 163° / el 5° for the zenith rise; program-track slews to the survey pass from wherever the zenith pass leaves it
RX modem 1 1,414 MHz / 36 MHz / QPSK 3/4 To 1,370 for SAR-2; back to 1,414 for SAR-1
Spectrum analyzer 1,414 MHz centre, 60 MHz span 1,370 MHz, 2 MHz span for SAR-2; 1,389 MHz for the SAR-1 beacon
LNB 13,100 MHz LO, reference locked Survey value 60 K. Read it
GPSDO Locked, 9 satellites Confirm
Link Analysis Survey budget loaded, worksheet blank Enter the survey numbers
Report Weekly Pass-Performance Report: Anomaly 1, Anomaly 2, Recommendation Blank
Equipment Status Notes
4 m Ku tracker Powered, manual, parked az 5° / el 3° Park on az 139° / el 5° for the 13:52 rise
RX modem 1 1,414 MHz / 36 MHz / QPSK 3/4 Retune to 1,340 MHz for SAR-3
Spectrum analyzer 1,414 MHz centre, 60 MHz span 1,315 MHz, 2 MHz span for the SAR-3 beacon
LNB / GPSDO 13,100 MHz, 60 K and change / locked Both must read in spec before the collect moves

  • Brief read; the two anomalies understood as two different kinds of number
  • Dashboard clean; GPS Timing: GPSDO locked; RX Analysis: LNB on 13,100 MHz
  • Modem 1 to 1,370 MHz; analyzer 1,370 MHz, 2 MHz span; the keyhole predicted
  • Tracker parked az 163° / el 5°
  • Program-track MERIDIAN-SAR-2; lock on the ascending leg, C/N ≥ 8 dB
  • Culmination 13:16:56: lock lost and regained, watched on RX analysis; lock held 100 s on the descending leg; cause named
  • Anomaly 1 written as an operations note
  • Modem 1 to 1,414 MHz; analyzer 1,389 MHz
  • Link Analysis: survey worksheet computed, 11.4 dB predicted
  • Program-track MERIDIAN-SAR-1; beacon on boresight; modem locked; C/N read at 13:34:46
  • Pass Schedule: ephemeris panel read, elements current
  • RX Analysis: LNB noise temperature read against 60 K; Anomaly 2 written with the arithmetic

Shetland and the collect (13:40 – 14:02)

Section titled “Shetland and the collect (13:40 – 14:02)”
  • SH-02 selected: LNB noise temperature in spec, GPSDO locked
  • T-SAR3-SH on SH-02; plan DECONFLICTED; standing rule set
  • Modem 1 to 1,340 MHz; analyzer 1,315 MHz, 2 MHz span; tracker parked az 139° / el 5°; skip ahead
  • Program-track MERIDIAN-SAR-3; modem locked on 1,340 MHz, C/N ≥ 8 dB through culmination (13:56:46)
  • Recommendation to Rotterdam, maintenance action, standing rule for the planners

Two numbers disagree with expectation. One of them has a cause with no fix on the rack and one of them has a fix with a part number, and in the data they look nothing alike. The report is what turns a bad pass next week into a comparison instead of an argument.

Anneke wants it by 14:00. Fly the passes, read the panels, do the arithmetic.

Good luck.